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Taking stock of U.S. job numbers

Written By Unknown on Sabtu, 09 Maret 2013 | 00.32

Taking stock of U.S. job numbers

Labor figures to tell if profit-rich cos. are hiring

All eyes will be on this morning's official Labor Department jobs report to see if a week when the Dow set new records can be capped by signs that profit-rich U.S. companies are ramping up hiring despite concerns about federal budget cuts.

"I think the fundamentals in the economy are such that it's appropriate to be cautiously optimistic about (today's) numbers," said Michael Goodman, a public policy professor at the University of Massachusetts Dartmouth.

The employment figures for February will likely reflect positive economic growth as the country hasn't yet felt the full effects of the budget cuts and tax hikes enacted by Congress, experts said.

The United States added an estimated 157,000 jobs in January, but that number is subject to revision. The nation's unemployment rate currently sits at 7.9 percent. Earlier this week, the ADP report showed 198,000 jobs added in February.

Massachusetts, meanwhile, reported an increase of 16,100 jobs in January. Even though unemployment remains steady at 6.7 percent, the Bay State's economy was buoyed by the creation of 92,800 jobs in 2011 and 2012 — 32,100 more than previously estimated over that two-year period.

"It suggests the state's emphasis on innovation and technology has paid off, but obviously there's still a long way to go before we're in a position where everybody who's looking for jobs in Massachusetts are able to find them," Goodman said. "But it's an important step in the right direction."

The Dow Jones industrial average continued its record run to close yesterday at 14,329.49. Weekly national unemployment claims also fell to 340,000, their lowest level in five years.

Continued economic growth can also cushion the expected slowdown that $85 million in automatic spending cuts will trigger at the state and national levels in the ensuing months, said Northeastern University economist Alan Clayton-Matthews.

"There will be a substantial amount of steam taken out of economic growth, but there is a substantial amount of steam to absorb the tax increases and spending cuts," he said. "We won't see the full effects of sequestration for another year probably, and hopefully within that period of time there will be another deal worked out in Congress to rapidly approach this deficit problem we have.


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Mass., R.I. take income tax bites

Mass., R.I. take income tax bites

Tax season is upon us and the Herald's TaxSmart experts are here to help. Today, Art Ford of Sullivan Bille Group of Tewksbury discusses issues involving multi-state returns.

I work in Rhode Island, but live in Massachusetts. My employer took state taxes in both states. I was informed that I would be able to get the Rhode Island taxes refunded as I am a Massachusetts resident. However, when I did my taxes ... I ended up owing Massachusetts more taxes and receiving a third of my Rhode Island taxes back. Is this correct? Just seems wrong that I pay resident taxes in both states, but live in one.

— Mary Richardson

This is an example of a multi-state return.

As the reader suggests, these can be a pain, as the rules in each state are different and, in this case, both states have an income tax.

Your Rhode Island income must be included on your Massachusetts return, but Massachusetts allows a tax credit for taxes paid to Rhode Island.

The Massachusetts income tax rate is currently 5.25 percent.

Rhode Island has different deductions and exemptions than Massachusetts and it has three graduated tax rates.

Rhode Island has a rate of 3.75 percent on taxable income up to $57,150; 4.75 percent above that up to $129,900; and then 5.99 percent above $129,900.

So, if you are in the 3.75 percent Rhode Island bracket, there will be an additional tax to Massachusetts of 
1.5 percent.

Email your TaxSmart questions to bizsmart@bostonherald.com


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The Ticker

Facebook fixes feed

Facebook has redesigned the main attraction of its social network to address complaints that its website has turned into a jumble of monotonous musings and random photos.

In an attempt to breathe new life into Facebook's News Feed, the company will introduce new controls that allow people to sort streams of photos and other material into organized sections.

Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg, above, hopes to turn the News Feed into something more like a newspaper tailored to the particular interests for each of the social network's more than 1 billion worldwide users.

Zipcar shareholders OK Avis deal

Shareholders of Zipcar approved the Cambridge car-sharing company's nearly $500 million sale to auto rental giant Avis Budget Group. The deal is expected to be finalized next week.

U.S. regains wealth lost in recession

Surging stock prices and steady home-price increases have finally allowed Americans to regain the $16 trillion in wealth they lost to the Great Recession.

Household wealth amounted to $66.1 trillion at the end of 2012, the Federal Reserve said. That was $1.2 trillion more than three months earlier and 98 percent of the pre-recession peak.

Verizon spends $545M on network

Verizon said it invested more than $545 million in its Massachusetts telecom infrastructure last year.

Most banks pass Fed 'stress test'

Major U.S. banks have enough capital to withstand a severe economic downturn, the Federal Reserve said, with all but one major bank passing the regulator's annual "stress test."

All 18 participating lenders except for Ally Financial — government-owned after being rescued during the financial crisis — met the minimum hurdle of a 5 percent capital buffer.

Bank of America cleared that with 6.8 percent, while Boston's State Street Corp. notched 12.8 percent.

TODAY

  • U.S. Labor Department releases the unemployment report for February.
  • Veteran technology marketing executive Mark Fredrickson, left, has joined Boston marketing agency Conover Tuttle Pace as a managing director. He previously served as vice president of corporate communications and marketing strategy at EMC Corp. At CTP, Fredrickson leads the technology practice.

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Copley Place builder may shop tower as luxury apartments

The stalled Copley Place tower project may come back to life as a luxury apartment high-rise.

The head of developer Simon Property Group recently hinted at a shift for the 47-story tower, which had been approved for 318 condominium units.

"We're still designing the building," CEO David Simon said during an earnings conference call last month. "But the idea that we're circling right now is to do mostly rentals, though there will be some condo element to it."

Simon spokesman Les Morris declined to elaborate on the plan yesterday.

The Boston Redevelopment Authority approved the 
$500 million project last fall but has not received any updates lately. Neither has the Massachusetts Department of Transportation, which leases the property to Indianapolis-based Simon.

The Copley Place tower would take several years to build. It would add a prominent glass structure to the Back Bay skyline between the Prudential and Hancock towers.

Greg Vasil, CEO of the Greater Boston Real Estate Board, said there's a strong market for apartments in Boston now. "With all the other projects in the pipeline, I'd assume they would want to move forward fairly quickly," he said.


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Report lays new foundation for housing policy

The housing market is on the mend but experts say the healing process has been held back by "rigid" rules for buyers and lenders.

A bipartisan commission of former Cabinet secretaries, ex-senators and top housing and economic experts released an expansive new vision for housing policy last week, calling for a greater role for the private sector and a more limited role for the federal government.

The panel also advocated for the elimination of government-sponsored mortgage lenders Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, along with reform of the Federal Housing Administration to improve efficiency.

"Today, a number of obstacles prevent a return to the conditions that prevailed in the late 1990s — before lax underwriting infiltrated the system and contributed to the crisis — and stand in the way of qualified borrowers accessing mortgage credit," the Bipartisan Policy Center's 136-page report states. "Restoring the appropriately conservative underwriting standards in place before the housing bubble, with their focus on the overall creditworthiness of the borrower, could help to improve the health of the housing market."

The FHA appears to be more cautious than it used to be. The report notes that in 2012 the average FICO score for an FHA loan was close to 760 on a range of 300 to 850, compared to the 710-720 that the average Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac borrower had in 2001.

"The pendulum may have swung too far in the wrong direction," said Nicolas Retsinas, director emeritus of Harvard University's Joint Center for Housing Studies, who served on the housing commission. "We want to make sure we are not so strict with our lending standards to facilitate a full recovery to the housing market."

Other obstacles discussed in the commission's findings include a lack of access to credit for well-qualified, self-employed individuals, potential "put-back" risk to lenders liable for government-backed mortgages that default, and the sale price of distressed or foreclosed homes used as comparisons in appraisals of non-distressed property.

Retsinas also noted that the housing recovery has been bumpy because several important federal rules are still pending

"We need to increase clarity and consistency for many lenders. We also have to create a system that doesn't favor large lenders," he said. "We need to have a level playing field."

Jennifer Athas, a licensed real estate broker, can be reached on Twitter 
@JenAthas.


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Wall St. will keep close iWatch on Apple product

Wall St. will keep close iWatch on Apple product

Apple's stock could get a needed boost later this year, when the company is expected to ride the wearable technology wave with the debut of a wristwatch aimed at tapping into the 
$6 billion smart watch market.

The "iWatch" will be integrated with the wearer's iPhone and iPad, without negating the need for either one, said Max Wolff, senior analyst at Greencrest Capital.

It will likely allow the wearer to see who's calling and to receive alerts and incoming emails and texts, Wolff added.

It may use voice commands, such as "weather" or "traffic," as the input method, said Roger Kay, founder and president of Endpoint Technologies Associates in Wayland.

And, like fitness devices such as FitBit, it may also have a pedometer or sensors tracking data such as heart rate.

"This is an opportunity for Apple to disrupt this category," Kay said. "An iWatch could re-establish Apple's reputation as an innovator."

The design, though, is being closely guarded by Apple.

"It has to work and have some value as a fashion accessory," Wolff said. "It needs to be sleek and stylish. It should be a little different from other watches on the market. It needs to be noticeable without being clunky or dorky."

It also needs to make people think twice before investing in Google's Glass wearable device, which also is due out this year.

Wearable computing devices will exceed 485 million annual shipments by 2018, according to ABI Research.

If Apple is able to make inroads in the business, it would boost the technology giant's stock, which is down by more than a third since peaking in September.

"It is clear that Apple needs to create a new category and do it soon," said N. Venkat Venkatraman, a Boston University management professor. "A watch is easier to launch than a TV. It's easier to produce since it is a variation on the iPod mini and the iPhone, and uses the same app structure and Siri plus Bluetooth integration. Moreover, it has global appeal and can rekindle Apple's cool factor."


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DeLeo plans to STEM tide of job unreadiness

Education and business leaders yesterday applauded House Speaker Robert A. DeLeo's proposal to create a STEM Starter Academy at Bay State community colleges to help put students on the path to job readiness.

In a speech before the Greater Boston Chamber of Commerce, DeLeo said that by 2018, Massachusetts will have 300,000 job openings, some of which can be filled by community college graduates.

But 65 percent of these students are enrolled in at least one remedial course, said Richard Freeland, the state's commissioner of higher education. And many students don't successfully complete the required courses or avoid taking subjects like math altogether and therefore never graduate, DeLeo said, citing a study by the Chronicle of Higher Education.

"For our economy to thrive, that needs to change," he said.

Although still in the conceptual stage, DeLeo's proposed STEM Starter Academy would be an intensive program to bring students up to speed so they can go on to more advanced training in science, technology, engineering and math.

Instead of meeting for one hour just three times a week, courses might meet two or three hours five days a week, an immersion model that has proven successful in language instruction, Freeland said.

"Many opportunities for students graduating from community colleges are in STEM fields, but students who enter community colleges are often weak in math and are therefore starting out behind," said Andre Mayer, senior vice president of research at the Associated Industries of Massachusetts. "They need a lot of education to bring them up to speed, so finding a way to accelerate that process is important."

Chamber President Paul Guzzi called the plan, which DeLeo has proposed funding with gaming license revenues, "innovative and on point."

"This initiative would provide community college students with additional training in the skills that many employers are looking for," Guzzi said. "This will help better align community college training with workforce needs, which is critical to sustaining our region's economic growth."


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Google cutting 1,200 more Motorola jobs

NEW YORK — Google is cutting an additional 1,200 jobs in its Motorola division as the unprofitable cellphone maker struggles to compete.

Last summer, Google Inc. announced 4,000 Motorola job cuts. The latest reductions are in addition to those and will be in countries including the U.S., China and India.

"These cuts are a continuation of the reductions we announced last summer," Google spokeswoman Niki Fenwick said in an email.

When Mountain View, Calif.-based Google bought Motorola last year for $12.4 billion, it had about 20,000 employees.

The online search leader also expects to pare jobs at the division with a planned $2.35 billion sale of the Motorola set-top business, which has about 7,000 employees. Google had about 53,000 employees as of late September.

Google bought Motorola primarily for its 17,000 patents, bolstering the company in the mobile device arms race with other technology companies. The cellphone business has lost market share to Apple and Samsung, however, and posted operating losses of $1.1 billion since Google completed the Motorola deal in May.

Analysts have been concerned that adding a phone manufacturing business could hurt Google's profitability and potentially alienate the other device makers that use Google's Android mobile operating system. Samsung, HTC and other phone makers run Android. Apple and BlackBerry have their own systems.

The Wall Street Journal reported the Motorola job cuts in Friday's editions.

Google shares rose $3.39 to $835.99 in premarket trading.


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Justice Dept: Nearly $6B recovered for consumers

WASHINGTON — The Justice Department's consumer protection initiatives have recovered more than $5.89 billion since 2009 and have led to more than 140 criminal convictions and prison sentences of more than 327 years.

The department's civil division released the figures Friday at a meeting of more than two dozen state and federal agencies focused on combatting fraud against consumers.

The department's Consumer Protection Branch last year recovered $1.9 billion in criminal fines and other financial penalties against companies that allegedly misbranded pharmaceuticals, sold unsafe products and resold prescription drugs that had been diverted from lawful channels.

The Consumer Protection Branch played an important role in bringing a lawsuit against credit rating agency Standard & Poor's for allegedly scheming to defraud investors in residential mortgage-backed securities.


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US adds 236K jobs, unemployment falls to 7.7 pct.

US adds 236K jobs, unemployment falls to 7.7 pct.

WASHINGTON — A burst of hiring last month added 236,000 U.S. jobs and reduced the unemployment rate to 7.7 percent from 7.9 percent in January. The robust gains suggested that the economy can strengthen further despite higher taxes and government spending cuts.

The February jobs report issued Friday provided encouraging details: The unemployment rate is at its lowest level in four years. Job growth has averaged more than 200,000 a month since November. Wages rose. And the job gains were broad-based, led by the most construction hiring in six years.

The unemployment rate, which had been stuck at 7.8 percent or above since September, declined mostly because more people found work. Another factor was that 130,000 people without jobs stopped looking for work last month. The government doesn't count them as unemployed.

The unemployment rate is calculated from a survey of households. The job gains are derived from a separate survey of employers.

The 236,000 jobs that were added in February is a historically solid total. And it would have been higher if governments were contributing to job growth, rather than subtracting from it as they have for nearly four years. Governments cut 10,000 jobs in February.

If federal, state and local governments were adding their long-term combined average of 20,000 to 25,000 jobs a month, February's total job gains would have been around 260,000.

Hiring has accelerated since summer. Employers have added an average of 191,000 jobs a month from December through February. They had averaged 181,000 gains from September through November and 135,000 from June through August.

Stock prices rose modestly Friday morning after the report was released at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time. Another day of stock gains would give the Dow Jones industrial average its fourth straight record close.

The government said employers added slightly fewer jobs in January than the government had first estimated. Job gains were lowered to 119,000 from an initially estimated 157,000. Still, December hiring was a little stronger than first thought, with 219,000 jobs added instead of 191,000.

Robust auto sales and a steady housing recovery are spurring more hiring, which could trigger more consumer spending and stronger economic growth. The construction industry added 48,000 in February; it's added a solid 151,000 since September. Manufacturing gained 14,000 jobs last month and 39,000 since November.

Retailers added 24,000 jobs, a sign that they anticipate healthy consumer spending in the coming months. Education and health services gained 24,000. And the information industry, which includes publishing, telecommunications and film, added 20,000, mostly in the movie industry.

The economy is generating more higher-paying jobs in industries like accounting, engineering and information technology. That's raising average pay, which will help offset the hit that Americans took from higher Social Security taxes and gas prices.

Hourly wages rose 4 cents to $23.82 last month. Wages have risen 2.1 percent over the past year, slightly ahead of inflation. Higher pay is vital to the economy because consumer spending drives 70 percent of economic activity.

"We're seeing the mix of jobs improve," says Ryan Sweet, a senior economist at Moody's Analytics.

The improved job market can also benefit countries that sell goods and services to U.S. consumers and businesses.

"All you have to do is look at the trade numbers," says Bernard Baumohl, chief global economist at the Economic Outlook Group. "The strength in the U.S. economy is leading to faster growth in imports."

Imports rose 2 percent in January from December. Those from China surged 7 percent.

A stronger U.S. economy, Baumohl says, will also help a battered Europe, which is contending with high unemployment and a debt crisis.

The U.S. economy is benefiting from the Federal Reserve's drive to keep interest rates at record lows. Lower borrowing rates have made it easier for Americans to buy homes and cars and for companies to expand.

The Fed and other key central banks have taken extraordinary steps to pump money into their financial systems to try to spur borrowing and spending, boost stock prices and stimulate growth.

The Fed has said it plans to keep the benchmark rate it controls near zero at least until the unemployment rate has fallen to 6.5 percent, as long as the inflation outlook remains mild.

Friday's jobs report isn't expected to move up the Fed's timetable for any rate increase.

"This may not yet be the substantial improvement in the labor market outlook that the Fed is looking for, but it's moving in the right direction," Paul Ashworth, an economist at Capital Economics, said in a note to clients.

The brighter hiring picture has yet to trigger a flood of people who aren't looking for a job to start seeking one. The proportion of Americans either working or looking for work dipped one-tenth of a percentage point in February to 63.5 percent, matching a 30-year low.

Even though the recession officially ended nearly four years ago, many Americans have remained discouraged about their job prospects and have given up looking. Others have returned to, or stayed in, school. And the vast generation of baby boomers have begun to retire. Their exodus reduces the percentage of adults working or looking for work.

Further strong hiring gains will hinge, in part, on healthy consumer spending. So far, higher gas prices and a Jan. 1 increase in Social Security taxes haven't caused Americans to sharply cut back on spending.

Across-the-board government spending cuts also kicked in March 1 after the White House and Congress failed to reach a deal to avoid them. Those cuts will likely lead to furloughs and layoffs in coming weeks.

The Congressional Budget office has estimated that the cuts mean government spending will drop $44 billion in the budget year that ends Sept. 30. That reduction, slightly more than 1 percent of federal spending, will likely hold down hiring in spring and summer, Sweet says. But more hiring and pay increases now should ease the blow.

A big source of strength has been home sales and residential construction: New-home sales jumped 16 percent in January to the highest level since July 2008. And builders started work on the most homes last year since 2008.

Home prices rose by the most in more than six years in the 12 months that ended in January. Higher prices tend to make homeowners feel wealthier and more likely to spend. So do record-high stock prices.

"If my house is worth a little more, my 401(k) is going up ... maybe I can afford to go buy that car, or continue to spend," says Ed Hyland, investment specialist at JPMorgan Private Bank.

___

AP Economics Writer Paul Wiseman contributed to this report.


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